With global capital markets in the middle of a meltdown, it would be expected that the Israeli hi-tech startup industry would be in shambles. With most investors hunkered down waiting for the storm to pass, they wouldn’t seem to be in the mood to fund new companies. Well that may be what you would expect, in reality it’s not the case. According to a report in Globes the number of startups that have closed their doors this year is actually much less than in the previous 2 years. “According to IVC Online, 35 start-ups have closed down since January: 24 companies in the first quarter, six in the second quarter, and five in July-August. For the sake of comparison, 228 companies closed down in 2007 as a whole and the number that closed in 2006 was about the same.”

That hardly sounds the panic whistle. It’s hard to understand why this is occurring but one reason may be that companies have cut out the frivolous expenses of years passed, and are doing a much better job of making whatever money they raise, last.

That’s the good thing about lousy capital markets. It sends a dose of reality to the startup world, that they better shape up and watch their spending or their sole option will be bankruptcy. I guess you can find some good in any situation.

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Aaron Katsman is Managing Editor of the Israel Opportunity Investor newsletter. He is lead portfolio manager for the Israel Growth Portfolio and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. For more information, go to www.israelnewsletter.com or call 1-888-327-6179, or email aaron@profile-financial.com.

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For those who think that the local Israeli economy is immune to a global economic slowdown, today’s economic numbers on consumer confidence, may want you to think again. Globes reports that the index dropped to its lowest leevl in 4 years.

The article says: “The Consumer Confidence Index has been falling since the third quarter of 2007, even before there were signs that the economy was entering a slowdown. The index indicates that the public has sensed the economic trends for a long time, even as official macroeconomic data only now shows declines in private consumption and slower growth.”

With so much of the recent local economic success due to strong consumer spending and optimism, this continued deline in confidence, could spell the end of the current economic cycle. Growth estimates have been sliced, and while official estimates are still over 3% GDP growth for the year, with a slowing consumer and export companies reeling from Shekel strength I think we may be hard pressed to achieve those numbers. Keep in mind that israel has been late to the game concerning an economic downturn. That doesn’t bode well for ‘09 growth, which may continue to sag.

So where is there room to be optimistic? With the USD staging a recent comeback and pushing through the 3.6 barrier, the investment opportunities ahead may lie with export driven industries, especially the much sought after Israeli hi-tech industry. With this industry under performing over the last year or two, it may be time for Israeli hi-tech to make a comeback.

Please see our Disclaimer HERE.

Aaron Katsman is Managing Editor of the Israel Opportunity Investor newsletter. He is lead portfolio manager for the Israel Growth Portfolio and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. For more information, go to www.israelnewsletter.com or call 1-888-327-6179, or email aaron@profile-financial.com.

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Aaron Katsman
IsraelNewsletter.com

The Israel financial daily Globes is reporting that email animation company Incredimail (MAIL) wants to reprice options for 5 senior managers. The company which works in the space of email animation, clearly has a problem distinguishing between reality and fiction. The stock is down more than 40% YTD, there was a management shakeup, issues with Google (GOOG), and senior management wants to reprice their options? I don’t know, are they planning to sell the company for some kind of premium and attempt to make a boatload of money on the transaction, while all investors will see is a slightly lower tax loss?

According to the article: “The options are held by Incredimail CEO and director Ofer Adler, who is the company’s largest shareholder, president Yaron Adler, the company’s second-largest shareholder, chairwoman Tamar Gottlieb, and directors Yair Zadik and Gittit Guberman.”

I would understand if the company wanted to reprice employee stock options (ESOP) as they would want to retain their employees, but senior management? My hunch is that most investors wouldn’t mind if senior management was let go. Why should these executives profit when investors have seen tremendous losses? Why should 2 directors and the chairwoman get their options repriced? (Continue »)

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Aaron Katsman
IsraelNewsletter.com

Back in August ‘07, fellow IOI colleague Zack” I loved the group Asia” Miller posted about a newly IPO’d Israeli company called Starlims Technologies (LIMS). The company competes in the Laboratory Information Management Systems market with over 20 years experience marketing in this space. Their software “manages the collection, processing, storage, retrieval and analysis of information generated in laboratories.”

Almost prophetically, Miller nailed it. ” …They report on August 13th. I’d wait on the sidelines as the company gets its publicly-traded legs and gets used to reporting to the Street. As the smoke settles, this might be an interesting play for small-cap investors looking at some of the best of Israeli technologies.” How right he was. The company had a few rough quarters sending the stock tumbling by more than 50%.

With the earnings stumbles, our view was that the dust still had to settle. Today, Invest2Success has a real interesting piece on the company. Michael Michaud has the stock as his stock pick of the week. (Continue »)

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