How Compound Interest Works For You

Written by: Aaron Katsman | September 22, 2008

This article is being reprinted with permission from Bizzywomen.com

Although we often hear about the “wonders” of compound interest, many people don’t know what it actually means and they miss out on its benefits.

Two quotes are attributed to Albert Einstein regarding compound interest. Einstein apparently referred to compound interest as “the greatest mathematical discovery of all time,” and on another occasion he claimed that it was the “eighth wonder of the world.” Although we don’t know if these quotes are accurate, there is definitely something magical about compound interest.

What is it?
Compound interest is the ability of an asset to generate earnings, which are then reinvested in order to generate their own income. In other words, the term “compounding” refers to generating earnings from previous earnings. The magic of compound interest transforms your hard-earned money into a very efficient tool for building long-term capital. For compounding to really work, however, it is necessary to reinvest all earnings over time. When an investor gives more time to his investments, he is more likely to optimize the income potential of the original sum.

Example
If an investor had $5,000 in an account that paid 5% annually in simple interest for five years, he would earn $250 a year. This would generate a total of $1,250 in interest. In this case, the interest rate and the yield are the same — 5% per year.
However, the same $5,000 investment paying 5% in compound interest could earn more. In this situation, if the money is reinvested and compounded annually for five years, it would produce a total of $1,381.41 in interest. This is because when the investor earns interest on his interest, the yield — an average of 5.52% per year — is higher than the actual interest rate at which he initially invested. This difference of 0.52% a year may seem insignificant, but we should also consider that the investor did not need to work to receive this money. Moreover, this half a percent could make a significant difference over a longer period, such as 20 or 30 years.
The Earlier the Better
When an investor starts investing at a younger age, he will benefit far more from compounding. To understand this further, let’s take the case of two investors named Tzivia and Moshe Aryeh, who are both the same age. When Tzivia was 25, she invested $15,000 at an interest rate of 5.5%, which was compounded annually. By the time Tzivia reached 50, she had $57,200 in her bank account.

Moshe Aryeh, on the other hand, did not start investing until he reached the age of 35. At that time, he invested $15,000 at the same interest rate of 5.5% compounded annually. By the time Moshe Aryeh reached 50, he had just $33,487 in his bank account.

What happened? Both Tzivia and Moshe Aryeh are 50 years old, and both invested the same amount of money ($15,000) at the same rate of interest (5.5%). However, Tzivia had $23,713 ($57,200 - $33,487) more in her savings account than Moshe Aryeh, even though he invested the same amount of money! By giving her investment more time to grow, Tzivia earned a total of $42,200 in interest while Moshe Aryeh earned only $18,487.

Annual Contributions
The above example clearly demonstrates the positive benefits of compound interest. Taking it a step further, imagine that Tzivia, who invested $15,000 at the age of 25, also adds an extra $2,000 a year to her account, where everything is invested at a rate of 5.5%. If she were to continue this disciplined investment approach until retirement (at the age of 65) she would end up with over $413,000. And if Tzivia were to add some risk to her investment profile in the hope of getting an even higher return, her nest egg at retirement could grow even more substantially.
The Cost of Waiting
As mentioned earlier, the two essential aspects for compounding to work are reinvesting the earnings and time. Each year that goes by without any investment will therefore affect your retirement. If you have 30-40 years until retirement, every year that you forego saving or investing money today may subtract between 1-5 years from your retirement.

Just Start
You don’t have to be wealthy to start investing. If you start saving early and make disciplined contributions, compounding may mean that you, too, can retire with a very large nest egg.

Aaron Katsman is President of Global Investments at Profile Investment Services.  He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel, and helps people who open investment accounts in the U.S. Securities which are offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc. a registered broker dealer, Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, SIFMA. For more information email aaron@profile-financial.com

 

3 Investing Tips for Volatile Markets

Written by: Aaron Katsman | September 9, 2008

For the past 10 months or more, most business news reports will tell you that the global stock markets are down again. However, although the media tend to play this up, it is in fact nothing unusual. Generally, though past performance is no guarantee of future returns, markets have a few good years, followed by a less-than-stellar year or two. For example, in the current market cycle, there were four or five good years, and now the markets have dropped. That’s precisely why investors in the stock market need a long-term horizon, as well as to be able to withstand all of the market ups and downs. Below are three investing tips that may help investors remain sane during market downturns:

Diversify

To understand this concept more easily, we first need to define the meaning of diversification. Diversification is an investment technique that uses many varied investments within a single portfolio. The idea behind it is that a portfolio of different kinds of investments may, on average, yield higher returns and pose a lower risk than a single investment. Diversification tries to smooth out volatility in a portfolio caused by market, interest rate, currency and geopolitical risks. In laymen’s terms, don’t put all your eggs in one basket. It’s important to remember that diversification does not assure against a loss.

If you include bonds or FDIC-insured Certificates of Deposit (CDs) in your stock portfolio, it may take away some of the volatility of the portfolio, allowing for potentially, more stable returns over the long run.

Don’t Panic

Keep you eyes glued to your long-term goals. It’s important to remember that markets go up and down, and if you made a financial plan, it would have taken this type of market volatility into account. The worst thing you can do as an investor is panic and sell everything and then wait for the market to recover. The market tends to recover very quickly. Large market gains often come about in quick and unpredictable spurts, and missing just a few days of strong market returns can substantially erode long-term performance. Remember the famous investing principle of buying low and selling high. Investors who panic often end up selling low.

Rebalance

The third principle is for investors to update or re balance their investment portfolios. Rebalancing is necessary for two main reasons. First of all, it keeps your asset allocation in line with your risk level and, secondly, it keeps your portfolio in line with both your short- and long-term goals and needs.

Let’s use the following example: When you first decide to invest, you decide that an allocation of 70% stocks and 30% bonds seems right for your $100,000 portfolio. We can also assume that over the course of the past few years, the stock market moved up strongly, and bonds barely moved up at all.

Based on the assumption that all gains and dividends were reinvested, and you didn’t deposit or withdraw any money, you would find that the stock portion of the portfolio would be worth a lot more than the initial $70,000. On the other hand, your bond holdings would be worth little more than the $30,000 invested in them.

However, while it is true that over the last few years your portfolio in this case would have grown, it would unfortunately have also become riskier. The reason for this is because the portfolio would move from being a 70% stock and 30% bond allocation to an allocation of 80% stocks and 20% bonds.

In this situation, if you don’t rebalance and you have a riskier portfolio, when the market starts to drop, this could lead to a greater loss.

It is a good idea to implement these three tips, as they are a possible means to help you weather the storm of volatile markets.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The S&P 500 index measures large-cap stocks and US stock market performance of leading companies in leading industries. An investor can not invest directly in an index.

Please see our Disclaimer HERE.

Aaron Katsman is Managing Editor of the Israel Opportunity Investor newsletter. He is lead portfolio manager for the Israel Growth Portfolio and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. For more information, go to www.israelnewsletter.com or call 1-888-327-6179, or email aaron@profile-financial.com.

 

Sec. Paulson: Here is My Mortgage Payment Information

Written by: Aaron Katsman | September 8, 2008

So my wife asked me a question this morning. She asked, ” I just heard that the US government is going to take control over Freddie and Fannie. Does that mean that we can discontinue paying our mortgage?” Well at first glance that doesn’t seem to be a great question, but since my wife asked it, I figured there must be some deeper meaning, so I thought about it for a while, and then realized she had a point. What’s the point you ask? We have officially buried the concept of individual responsibility.

The fact is that aside from terrible mismanagement ( Hey aren’t some of those credited with mismanagement actually economic advisors to Barack Obama?), the main reason that these agencies are on the cusp of bankruptcy is because of the whole mortgage market fiasco. There, as we all know, people who couldn’t afford to buy the homes they purchased, were bailed out by the government. Now the agency, that underwrote half of those mortgages is getting bailed out by the government. To me that means if you do something really stupid, have no fear, because it doesn’t matter, there will be no consequences to suffer because the ever present government will take care of you.

There is an article on Seekingalpha.com written by Matt Cooper ” Frannie Bailout: Private Profit: Socialized Risk” that has some interesting insight on the bailout. There happens to be a spot-on comment written by ‘lavalyn’ which says, “the complaint about “private profit, socialized risk” is simply that of moral hazard and double standards. If you or I were to open a business and lose our shirts the way the GSEs have, the banks would stop lending, and we’d probably lose everything… easily beyond shareholder capital.

This bailout is the taxpayer stepping in to cover for mistakes made, which is already dubious… and that’s before upper management taking in millions in bonuses, shareholders getting dividends… and them then not giving back. In the interest of “limited liability.” The GSEs have been riding the implicit (and now apparently explicit) government backing, while not giving the taxpayer/government any return for it.”

Bingo.

Anyway, since I don’t want to be the only sucker left  that makes monthly mortgage payments I am putting out a shout to Secretary Paulson, to contact me and take down my bank details to start making my monthly payments. Just one favor Mr. Secretary: Please make sure the payment is on time.

Please see our Disclaimer HERE.

Aaron Katsman is Managing Editor of the Israel Opportunity Investor newsletter. He is lead portfolio manager for the Israel Growth Portfolio and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. For more information, go to www.israelnewsletter.com or call 1-888-327-6179, or email aaron@profile-financial.com.

 

More Hedge Fund Scrutiny: Why is Hunter Biden Overlooked?

Written by: Aaron Katsman | September 3, 2008

With the hedge fund industry facing more scrutiny than ever before it’s quite amazing that Hunter Biden’s sour hedge fund deal, where he is accused of defrauding a former business partner and an investor of millions of dollars, has barely been mentioned in the press. After all he is the son of Democratic VP candidate Joe Biden.( Could that be the reason?)

According to a story in the Washington Post: “A lawsuit filed by their former partner Anthony Lotito Jr. asserts in court papers that the deal was crafted to get Hunter Biden out of lobbying because his father was concerned about the impact it would have on his bid for the White House. Biden was running for the Democratic nomination at the time the suit was filed.” The article continues, “Hunter Biden was made president with an annual salary of $1.2 million, despite his inexperience in the hedge fund industry.”

Wow! So we have the son of a Senator, who at that time was considering a presidential run, allegedly compelled to give up his lucrative lobbying job, to be made president of a hedge fund with a salary over one million bucks a year. Giddy up. And then he gets accused of defrauding investors. The media has been filled with reports on investment deals gone bad, hedge fund managers flying the coop, and others facing scrutiny for losing investors most if not all of their money. Yet the Hunter Biden story doesn’t get picked up? Sort of fishy isn’t it?

Sounds juicy. At least as interesting as the pregnancy of a 17 year old girl from Alaska.

Please see our Disclaimer HERE.

Aaron Katsman is Managing Editor of the Israel Opportunity Investor newsletter. He is lead portfolio manager for the Israel Growth Portfolio and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. For more information, go to www.israelnewsletter.com or call 1-888-327-6179, or email aaron@profile-financial.com.

 

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