Investor Insight: Zachary Scheidt, Stearman Capital

Written by: Zack Miller | January 7, 2008

The entire interview with Stearman Capital’s, Zachary Scheidt, is part of our new subscription newsletter, Israel Opportunity Investor. You can find out more about the product and the opportunities we cover at www.israelnewsletter.com

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Can you tell us a bit about your firm?

Zachary Scheidt photoZachary D. Scheidt: Stearman Capital is unique in that it focuses on stocks that are new to public markets. While our formal universe includes stocks that have been public less than five years, most of our investments turn out to be companies that have issued stock within the past 12 to 18 months.

We believe that there is an information disconnect for many names in our universe because up to this point there has been little or no media or analyst coverage leading up to the IPO. Once a company comes into the public realm, the first people to write about the names usually have an agenda. Underwriters issue reports after the quiet period is over with the hopes that their positive rating will propel the stock higher. This helps their reputation when soliciting investment banking business from other clients and also creates goodwill with the management of the newly issued stock. Goodwill is important in their business model because a large portion of companies who issue public stock come back to markets to raise additional capital.

I believe that Stearman is able to capture positive returns by digging through the primary information from the company as well as third party research to find the nuggets of truth that point to the eventual direction of these often misunderstood stocks.

One more advantage that we have is our relationships with multiple underwriters. When a company is pricing an IPO, we take calls from most of the major brokerages selling the deal and are able to pick up on the demand for a particular issue. If a contact calls in and says, “This deal is going to be red hot and I can get you as many shares as you want!”, we know that there is excess supply and the underwriters are pushing to get the deal sold. So, while you have to read between the lines at times, the relationships with these important firms gives us an edge that is difficult to quantify and nearly impossible to duplicate.

How does a firm located in Atlanta, GA start investing in small Israeli companies?

ZS: Well, believe it or not, the process is very simple. As Israel’s economy continues to evolve and new enterprises demand capital for expansion, companies often come to US markets to raise that capital. With technology making the world smaller every day, our research process is able to grapple through the same information that hits the desk on the 87th floor of a Park Avenue office (with considerably less overhead, I might add) and we are able to make a well-informed decision based on publicly available information.

To me there is not much difference in picking a stock based in NYC, San Francisco, London, Buenos Aires, or Tel Aviv. While currency issues come into play, local culture and customs are of course important, but the bottom line is whether I can make money trading the stock or not. The price of the stock will fall in line with supply and demand and that will be based on the public expectation of the future prosperity of the business. So if I can get an edge on what that public perception will be, I can trade a stock successfully, no matter where the company is located. (Continue »)

 

Ceragon (CRNT) going Cera-went?

Written by: Zack Miller | December 18, 2007

I know the market is tanking but Ceragon Networks (Nasdaq: CRNT) took a right across the jaw yesterday, falling almost 15% on seemingly no real news. We’ve written before about Ceragon, a rising player in fixed wireless and WiMAX.

Expectations for Cergaon were tempered in the 3rd quarter when Sprint (NYSE: S) called a time-out for its large WiMAX network rollout plans in the US. Many investors had bet that Ceragon would be the beneficiary of such business. In the wake of news about recession and the future for WiMAX, investors who had bid up Cergaon 300% or so this year are clearly selling. We’ve had a large pullback, but the stock is still up 80% for 2007.

Profit taking? Certainly I’d be locking in some gains as 2007 limps to an end. Combined with a general bad market, concern about telecom equipment spending slowing down, and talk of an Israeli analyst saying something negative on the company, investors are certainly skittish.

How much of this is macro vs micro? Hard to say, but we’re definitely of the opinion that WiMAX isn’t only going to happen it is happening, outside the US. Alvarion (Nasdaq: ALVR), another Israeli fixed wireless player, has also taken its bruising (read what we’ve had to say about them here), but both companies continue to roll in new deals in emerging markets where there isn’t necessarily a better platform than WiMAX. These tests will eventually translate into larger project bookings.

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Disclosure: Author’s fund has a position in ALVR as of 12/18/07.